Progress on standards predicted for 2002
eLearn Magazine's predictions for 2002 include progress on standards - according to some contributors, at least.
Professor Diana Laurillard of the Open University predicts there will be "real progress towards standards and sharing of e-learning tools and platforms", while Stephen Downes of the National Research Council of Canada (and editor of OLDaily) foresees more learning object development fostered by the "advent of authoring tools with built-in standards compliance".
Michael Feldstein, of Feldstein & Associates Consulting, predicts that "the SCORM specifications will begin to be better understood, although they won't result in substantial breakthroughs in actual products until 2003".
The overall tone of contributions is cautious, perhaps a reaction to the hype and hyperbole that accompanied eLearning in 2001. Laurillard even concludes her predictions with the statement "whatever changes happen for the better, they will be slow."
Other predictions, like the use of video communication and speech recognition, seem a constant favourite of crystal ball gazers; perhaps 2002 will be the year these technologies finally make an impact in reality?
Predictions rarely come true of course, but it's interesting to see the thinking of some of the main players in the eLearning game. Go to the eLearn Magazine website to find out more.